Category Archives: 2008 Presidential Campaign

Gallup: Obama has highest favorability rating of any presidential candidate in 16 years

If the final USA Today/Gallup poll is any indication, Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) has achieved his widest lead in the presidential race to date.

In addition, Obama’s favorable rating is 62 percent — the highest of any presidential candidate tracked in Gallup’s final pre-election polls dating back to 1992.

Obama holds an 11 point lead in the final poll of likely voters taken by the polling organization, up one point from the previous day.

Just a day before the polls open, Obama leads Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), 53 to 42 percent in the Gallup poll. The numbers are based on interviews conducted by phone on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. The group surveyed is based on Gallup’s model of those most likely to show up at the polls.

No candidate behind in the Gallup poll at the end of October has ever won the presidency.

Obama is also ahead in the Washington Post ABC poll (11 points), the CBS/NY Times poll (13 points), and the CNN poll (7 points).

Obama leads in six states that went for Bush in 2004: Real Clear Politics’ average shows Obama ahead in Colorado (5.5 percentage points), New Mexico (7.3), Nevada (5.8), Virginia (3.8), Pennsylvania (7), Florida (4.2), Ohio (4.2) and North Carolina (0.3). McCain leads in the swing states of Arizona (3.5 points), Georgia (3), Montana (3.8), Missouri (0.7) and Indiana (0.5).

Also, “Gallup says that when it allocates the 4% of likely voters who either had no opinion or would not choose between Obama and McCain, it estimates the candidates’ current support levels would most likely be 55% for Obama, 44% for McCain.”

Sarah Palin’s popularity is hemorrhaging, the poll says — 45 percent now rate McCain’s choice as poor, a worse-than-total reversal from a poll directly following the Republican National Convention when 60 percent deemed her selection “excellent” or “good.”

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE), meanwhile, retains similar numbers to the period following his selection; 60 percent say his choice was excellent or pretty good, whereas the same figure was 63 percent in early September.

John Byrne
The Raw Story

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, favorability rating, Gallup poll, John McCain, Raw Story

>Gallup: Obama has highest favorability rating of any presidential candidate in 16 years

>If the final USA Today/Gallup poll is any indication, Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) has achieved his widest lead in the presidential race to date.

In addition, Obama’s favorable rating is 62 percent — the highest of any presidential candidate tracked in Gallup’s final pre-election polls dating back to 1992.

Obama holds an 11 point lead in the final poll of likely voters taken by the polling organization, up one point from the previous day.

Just a day before the polls open, Obama leads Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), 53 to 42 percent in the Gallup poll. The numbers are based on interviews conducted by phone on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. The group surveyed is based on Gallup’s model of those most likely to show up at the polls.

No candidate behind in the Gallup poll at the end of October has ever won the presidency.

Obama is also ahead in the Washington Post ABC poll (11 points), the CBS/NY Times poll (13 points), and the CNN poll (7 points).

Obama leads in six states that went for Bush in 2004: Real Clear Politics’ average shows Obama ahead in Colorado (5.5 percentage points), New Mexico (7.3), Nevada (5.8), Virginia (3.8), Pennsylvania (7), Florida (4.2), Ohio (4.2) and North Carolina (0.3). McCain leads in the swing states of Arizona (3.5 points), Georgia (3), Montana (3.8), Missouri (0.7) and Indiana (0.5).

Also, “Gallup says that when it allocates the 4% of likely voters who either had no opinion or would not choose between Obama and McCain, it estimates the candidates’ current support levels would most likely be 55% for Obama, 44% for McCain.”

Sarah Palin’s popularity is hemorrhaging, the poll says — 45 percent now rate McCain’s choice as poor, a worse-than-total reversal from a poll directly following the Republican National Convention when 60 percent deemed her selection “excellent” or “good.”

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE), meanwhile, retains similar numbers to the period following his selection; 60 percent say his choice was excellent or pretty good, whereas the same figure was 63 percent in early September.

John Byrne
The Raw Story

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, favorability rating, Gallup poll, John McCain, Raw Story

>Reuters/Zogby: Obama Leads in Most Battleground States

>The final Reuters/Zogby surveys in eight battleground states show Sen. Barack Obama in a very strong position to be elected President on Tuesday.

Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, McCain 40%

Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 44%

Virginia: Obama 51%, McCain 45%

Nevada: Obama 51%, McCain 43%

Florida: Obama 48%, McCain 46%

Missouri: Obama 47%, McCain 46%

North Carolina: McCain 49%, Obama 48%

Indiana: McCain 49%, Obama 44%

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, Battleground States, John McCain, Reuters/Zogby Poll

Reuters/Zogby: Obama Leads in Most Battleground States

The final Reuters/Zogby surveys in eight battleground states show Sen. Barack Obama in a very strong position to be elected President on Tuesday.

Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, McCain 40%

Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 44%

Virginia: Obama 51%, McCain 45%

Nevada: Obama 51%, McCain 43%

Florida: Obama 48%, McCain 46%

Missouri: Obama 47%, McCain 46%

North Carolina: McCain 49%, Obama 48%

Indiana: McCain 49%, Obama 44%

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, Battleground States, John McCain, Reuters/Zogby Poll

>Palin’s Advice to Tina Fey

>Watch your back, Tina Fey.

Gov. Sarah Palin kicked off a rally in Ohio this afternoon with a feisty shot at Ms. Fey, who has played Ms. Palin with dead-on accuracy on “Saturday Night Live” for the last two months.

Ms. Palin had just taken the stage after Gretchen Wilson, the country singer, who sang “Redneck Woman” to warm up the crowd.

“Speaking of great performances, did anyone catch John McCain on ‘SNL’ last night?” Ms. Palin said, drawing cheers.

“A little advice to Tina Fey,” Ms. Palin said. “I want to make sure she’s holding on to that Sarah outfit. Because she’s gonna need it in the next four years.”

It turns out Ms. Palin missed the full experience of watching Mr. McCain on “Saturday Night Live.” She boarded her charter plane at 11:30 p.m. on Saturday, just on time to watch the show, an aide said, but the audio on her television wasn’t working.

-JULIE BOSMAN, NY Times

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Julie Bosman, NY Times, Sarah Palin, Satruday Night Live, Tina Fey

Palin’s Advice to Tina Fey

Watch your back, Tina Fey.

Gov. Sarah Palin kicked off a rally in Ohio this afternoon with a feisty shot at Ms. Fey, who has played Ms. Palin with dead-on accuracy on “Saturday Night Live” for the last two months.

Ms. Palin had just taken the stage after Gretchen Wilson, the country singer, who sang “Redneck Woman” to warm up the crowd.

“Speaking of great performances, did anyone catch John McCain on ‘SNL’ last night?” Ms. Palin said, drawing cheers.

“A little advice to Tina Fey,” Ms. Palin said. “I want to make sure she’s holding on to that Sarah outfit. Because she’s gonna need it in the next four years.”

It turns out Ms. Palin missed the full experience of watching Mr. McCain on “Saturday Night Live.” She boarded her charter plane at 11:30 p.m. on Saturday, just on time to watch the show, an aide said, but the audio on her television wasn’t working.

-JULIE BOSMAN, NY Times

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Julie Bosman, NY Times, Sarah Palin, Satruday Night Live, Tina Fey

>Quote of the Day

>”I cannot foresee a scenario that John McCain is elected president of the United States.”

— Republican strategist Frank Luntz, interviewed on the BBC.

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, BBC, Frank Luntz, John McCain, Quote of the day

Quote of the Day

“I cannot foresee a scenario that John McCain is elected president of the United States.”

— Republican strategist Frank Luntz, interviewed on the BBC.

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, BBC, Frank Luntz, John McCain, Quote of the day

Dueling Tracking Polls Now Agree

The two Gallup tracking poll likely voter models — with one that has consistently shown a close race and the other showing a likely Democratic blowout — have converged, with both models now showing Sen. Barack Obama way ahead of Sen. John McCain, 52% to 43%, and 52% to 41%, respectively.

– Political Wire

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, Gallup poll, John McCain, political wire

>Dueling Tracking Polls Now Agree

>The two Gallup tracking poll likely voter models — with one that has consistently shown a close race and the other showing a likely Democratic blowout — have converged, with both models now showing Sen. Barack Obama way ahead of Sen. John McCain, 52% to 43%, and 52% to 41%, respectively.

– Political Wire

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Filed under 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, Gallup poll, John McCain, political wire